Edgar Wachenheim says Citi stock price to double by 2020

Purchase, New York-based Greenhaven invests with a three- to four-year time horizon and manages approximately $7.5 billion for wealthy families, university endowments and nonprofits. From 1988–2017, the average annual return of a Greenhaven portfolio had been roughly 19 percent (before fees).

Wachenheim, who also founded the management company, argued that Citi’s success in its corporate cash management business is especially important to his valuation of the big bank. Citi’s stock traded 0.75 percent higher late Wednesday morning.

“Some of their businesses are really good. They’ve got Trade and Treasury Solutions: It’s a very good business; they and J.P. Morgan sort of dominate it,” he said. “It’s a very high return business. That’s worth more than 16 times earnings.”

The investor also highlighted the American truck industry as a compelling investment area, underscoring the success both Ford and General Motors have in the space.

“The pickup truck business in particular, in my opinion, is a very good business,” he started. “In North America, the big three still dominate. Ford has about a 38 percent share, General Motors has about a 38 percent share.”

“With all these advantages and tremendous brand loyalty — which you tend to find in trucks compared to cars — and the type of person buying a pickup truck being more intensely nationalist and pro-American than somebody who has a car, you have a consumer or business product that has a brand name and has pricing power and earns about 16 percent margins.”

Shares of Ford and General Motors were mixed Wednesday, down 0.1 percent and up 0.2 percent, respectively.

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